Getting Started
Behind every successful trader is a person willing to dig for the truth. You have to shed all political bias, economic beliefs, and personal views about money to determine what is really going on in the world and where currency is being moved and why. The market doesn’t care about your thoughts and feelings. The market moves regardless of your opinion.
Technical Analysis - looking at charts and market data to spot trends and predict future price movements. By analyzing how the market has moved in the past, we can make better decisions about when to enter and exit our trades in the future.
Fundamental Analysis - using data based on news events, geo-politics, and economic reports. (Ex: unemployment reports state a rise or fall in available jobs and how this would change a currency)
Sentimental Analysis - gauging the emotions and attitudes of traders world-wide toward the market as a whole. This is about understanding public perception and its potential impact on price movements.
*The trading we do is primarily based around Technical analysis.
Technical - 80%
Fundamental/Sentimental - 20%
Technical Analysis is used to determine market structure to identify trade entries & exits.
Fundamental Analysis & Sentimental Analysis determine how the other traders in the world feel about the market. We are focused on how the big banks and institutions feel about things so we can align ourselves with their motives since they’re the ones who have the power to move the market.
Volume - refers to the number of shares or contracts traded in a market. It helps us identify how much activity is in the market. Higher volume often suggests stronger conviction behind a trend.
Volatility - refers to how “volatile” a pair is meaning it’s unpredictability and potential for wild price swings.
Start with currency pairs that are less volatile (less drastic price swings). These are easier to predict and are less likely to hit a stop loss, ensuring more winning trades early on to gain some confidence while learning.
Pairs with the Most Predictable Movements
For predictability, focus on pairs with low volatility and strong adherence to technical patterns (e.g., support/resistance, channels) or fundamental ties between similar economies. These are less likely to experience random spikes and are often recommended for trend-following strategies.
EUR/CHF: Predictable for technical traders due to slow, range-bound movements and low volatility; relies heavily on chart patterns like channels and trend lines. Tight economic links between the Eurozone and Switzerland make shifts foreseeable.
AUD/USD and NZD/USD: Highly predictable due to commodity dependencies (Australia's exports to China) they often move in ascending/descending channels with clear support levels. Low risk of sudden drops, making them easy to forecast using basic technical analysis or global commodity news.
USD/CAD: Predictable ties to oil prices (Canada's exports); trends well with US data; considered one of the easiest for beginners due to consistent patterns.